Lille have announced the loan signing of South Africa left-back Thato Sibiya from Mamelodi Sundowns, with an option to buy attached. The move was confirmed by the Ligue 1 club and carried on the provider wire, and it is the kind of transfer Sundowns have grown comfortable with: a young international leaves, the club keeps a route back if it does not work, and the squad absorbs it.

Whether they absorb it easily is the question worth asking. Sundowns top the Betway Premiership with 20 points from eight matches and a goal difference of plus twelve, which is the healthiest set of numbers in the division by a distance. But the most recent evidence is not a side cruising. They were held to a 1-1 draw at Chippa United on Saturday, and Goal.com reports coach Miguel Cardoso complaining about horrible conditions afterwards, saying it was more a fight than a football match. Two Prediz fans predicted that fixture and neither got the result, let alone the score. Chippa have scored once in the league all season.

That is now the pattern to watch. Sundowns' table position is built on an eight-match sample, and Orlando Pirates are three games behind them with 13 points from five and a plus eleven goal difference. If Pirates win their games in hand they go past. Sundowns cannot afford many more afternoons like Chippa, and they will be managing those afternoons with one fewer senior left-back.

There is context in the other direction too. Sundowns continue to be the club European sides look at first when they want a South African player, and Sibiya joining a Ligue 1 side on those terms is a straightforward endorsement of the pipeline. The squad has been built deep enough that these exits are planned for rather than survived.

For anyone predicting Sundowns fixtures from here, the Chippa draw is the more useful data point than the goal difference. Their scorelines against the bottom half have been closer than the league table implies, and a squad in transition at full-back is not a squad you should be handing three-goal margins to on trust.